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dc.contributor.authorEdi
dc.contributor.authorSirojuzilam
dc.contributor.authorRahmanta
dc.date.accessioned2015-02-02T12:56:59Z
dc.date.available2015-02-02T12:56:59Z
dc.date.issued2014-04-01
dc.identifier.urihttp://repository.usu.ac.id/handle/123456789/43572
dc.description.abstractPenelitian ini mengkaji daya saing, integrasi pasar beras dan volatilitas harga beras Indonesia, Philipina, Thailand dan Vietnam. Metode analisis kuantitatif dengan pendekatan model Revealed Comparative Advantages(RCA), model kointegrasi Vector Autoregression(VAR) dan analisis volatilitas harga beras. Berikut hasil penelitian: Trend spesialization coeficien (TSC) perdagangan beras terdiri dari net importir (Indonesia dan Philipina) dan net eksportir (Thailand dan Vietnam). Pasar Indonesia dan Philipina tersegmentasi (tidak terintegrasi). Pasar Thailand terintegrasi dengan Philipina. Pasar Vietnam terintegrasi dengan Indonesia. Granger Causality pasar regional Asia Tenggara searah menunjukkan adanya intervensi pemerintah terhadap komoditas beras.Impulse response function (IRF) jangka pendek, sedang dan panjang harga beras Thailand dan Vietnam meningkatkan harga beras Indonesia, Philipina dan Vietnam serta menurunkan harga beras Thailand satu satuan standar deviasi. Variance decomposition (VD) harga beras Indonesia, Philipina, Thailand dan Vietnam memberikan guncangan (shock) dengan tingkatan guncangan yang berbeda. Harga beras medium lebih volatile dibanding harga beras premium dan kualitas rendah. Harga beras Indonesia lebih volatile dibanding harga beras Philipina, Thailand dan Vietnam.en_US
dc.description.abstractThis study is aimed at studying the competitiveness, rice market integration and rice price volatility Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam. Method of quantitative analysis with approach Revealed Comparative Advantages (RCA) model, Cointegration Vector Autoregression models (VAR) and analysis of rice price volatility. Here are the results of the study: Trend spesialization coeficien (TSC) rice trade consists of net importers (Indonesia and Philippine ) and net exporters (Thailand and Vietnam). Indonesia and the Philippines segmented market (not integrated). The Thailand market is integrated with the Philippines. Vietnam is integrated with the Indonesian market. Granger Causality Southeast Asian regional market indicate the direction of government intervention in rice. Impulse response function (IRF) of short, medium and long-term Thailand and Vietnam rice price increase to Indonesia rice prices, the Philippines and Vietnam as well as decrease price of Thailand rice one standard deviation unit. Variance decomposition (VD) price of rice Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam provide shock with different levels of shocks. The medium rice price is more volatile than low quality and premium rice. Indonesian rice prices more volatile than the rice price Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam.en_US
dc.language.isoiden_US
dc.subjectharga berasen_US
dc.subjectintegrasi pasaren_US
dc.titleANALISIS INTEGRASI DAN VOLATILITAS HARGA BERAS REGIONAL ASEAN TERHADAP PASAR BERAS INDONESIAen_US


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