Analisis Kausalitas Antara Tingkat Inflasi dan Tingkat Pengangguran di Sumatera Utara
Paidi Hidayat, SE, MSi
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This search is titled Analysis Causality Between Inflation and Unemployment in North Sumatera include from 1973 until 2005. The goal of this search is to know weather there are two ways relationship (influence each other), one way relationship, or even no relationship at all between inflation and unemployment in North Sumatera. This search uses dynamic model with Granger Causality Test Methode. Data is proceeded by E-views 4.1 program. The result of estimation is that there is one way relationship between inflation and unemployment, which is inflation is the function of unemployment. On the other word, unemployment causes the increase and decrease of inflation in North Sumatera from 1973 until 2005. Then, after knowing the relationship between these variables, the OLS methode can be used to do the estimation. The result shows that unemployment has positive influence significantly to inflation in North Sumatera from 1975 unti12005.
- SP - Economic Development