Analisis Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Karet Sumatera Utara
Drs. H.B. Tarmizi, SU
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he international trade is the only choice for a nation to expands it's economic. It demands every nation to role an open economic system. Just like Indonesia with it's open economic keep on fixing and restructuring in all sectors, in order to anticipate the global competition. North Sumatera, as one of the Province in Indonesia has realized this situation. And, by it's export activities North Sumatera tries to maintain and increase the export value, especially from the agricultural sector. Natural rubber as one of the top export commodity in North Sumatera has shown a fluctuative growth over a past decade. Eventough, it's one of the best-seller commodity in the international market and has a high demand. Seeing that situation, the main objective of this study is to analyze the factors that influence the export value of natural rubber of North Sumtera. Those factors are the rubber price in the international market and the domestic inflation rate. This study uses a time series data in period of 1989- 2003 and using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) technique to analyze the data. The result shows that both the rubber price and the inflation rate have positively significant influence to the export value of natural rubber of North Sumatera. However, the inflation rate shows an opposite coefficient then it's supposed to be where it should be influence negatively to the export value .
- SP - Economic Development